Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 244.241022 275.654646 310.677920 352.825813 402.442417 459.327358 529.957488
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 196.910097 237.736526 287.373988 352.977121 438.631204 548.421927 702.721038
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 166.447574 209.590646 265.005285 342.874111 451.922841 603.093648 835.767570
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 145.480582 189.172862 247.725133 334.086734 462.090073 651.500080 966.778565
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 135.231765 181.120348 245.085926 343.856240 498.504822 742.627033 1182.863303
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 124.787228 171.254086 238.181887 345.610789 521.964296 816.701663 1388.403646
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 114.144857 159.808785 227.382283 339.426017 530.914268 867.219889 1563.419498
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 106.784313 152.394294 221.671887 340.244279 551.155110 940.630289 1803.257934
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 98.703557 143.085949 211.961457 333.000192 555.685844 985.015649 1994.214151
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 92.752588 136.543965 205.957921 331.200009 569.611819 1050.075061 2252.446917
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 84.998919 126.515098 193.332979 316.217775 556.067806 1055.629336 2366.764907
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 82.881792 125.408138 195.433636 327.998935 596.852692 1186.307329 2855.390920
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 81.314772 125.181643 199.181297 343.676779 649.186081 1358.222336 3548.104249
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 77.342229 120.607797 194.925340 343.482318 667.774498 1454.641275 4061.137730
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 72.367519 113.951014 186.364811 333.730343 663.452758 1491.873619 4394.654297
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 68.027321 108.109626 178.827370 325.235983 660.738988 1533.024578 4766.760992
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 66.431559 106.984822 179.897671 334.679208 702.080252 1707.511139 5772.650342
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 63.974279 104.140012 177.472804 336.374904 724.738415 1834.527281 6673.879313
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 60.799423 99.789080 171.818924 330.397248 726.919117 1899.565095 7337.437724
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 58.638667 97.166635 169.328641 331.188162 747.009970 2028.476043 8439.386890
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 55.785432 93.089467 163.670004 324.185593 744.979785 2082.923342 9183.221467
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 53.684046 90.309111 160.419518 322.445223 757.374258 2192.444207 10374.416983
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 50.432040 85.180221 152.086797 307.957528 731.394636 2155.193352 10581.786711